America's Skilled Trades Dashboard
Installation, maintenance & repair · Explorer

Heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers in the United States

Workforce

An overview of heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers across the United States.
Workers
410k
+20% since 2019
20192025
Employment growth
19.8%
2019 to 2025, up 68k workers
Aged 55 and over
19%
Share of the current workforce aged 55+
Under 25
14%
Share of the current workforce aged under 25
Estimated retirements a year
8,889
Workers aged 55 and over, assumed to retire evenly over ten years
Five-year retention
69%
Share of entrants working in any skilled trade five years later
Part-time share
7.8%
Economy-wide rate: 20.5% (this occupation nationally 7.9%)

Pay

Levels, spread, and growth. OEWS May 2025, with a 2019 to 2025 history.
Median pay
$63k
27.0% since 2019, before inflation
20192025
Pay spread
$42–91k
10th to 90th percentile
10th percentile
$42k
Median
$63k
90th percentile
$91k
Pay premium over workers with a high school diploma outside the trades
36%
Against the national median for those workers ($46.3k, ACS 2020–2024)
Employment growth per year
3.1%
Compound annual rate, 2019 to 2025

Skills employers ask for

From the Burning Glass Institute Job Postings Database, for this occupation nationally, 2023 to 2025. What is growing, what pays, and what is just arriving. These are national lists - there is insufficient data to breakdown by state.
Fastest growing
ServiceMax+159%/yr
Energy Efficient Operations+103%/yr
Ohm Meters+78%/yr
Property Maintenance+48%/yr
Technical Issues+42%/yr
Carry a pay premium
Honeywell Controls Systems+28% pay
Siemens Control Systems+28% pay
Johnson Controls Systems+22% pay
ServiceMax+21% pay
Drainage Systems+20% pay
Frontier: both fast-growing and carry a pay premium
ServiceMax0.5% of ads
Honeywell Controls Systems0.7% of ads
Energy Efficient Operations0.6% of ads
Siemens Control Systems0.8% of ads
Johnson Controls Systems0.8% of ads
Burning Glass Institute Job Postings Database, one of 54 trades with enough advert volume to score. Premiums are wage differences between adverts for the same occupation with and without the skill.

Entry & Training

How people typically enter this work, what exists here to train them, and how often training completes. Conversion into the trade is measured nationally, by trade group.
Typical way in
College or CTE credential
Typical entry education: Postsecondary nondegree award
Working in trade at 5 years
23%
Installation, maintenance & repair as a group, national - all trades 28.9%

Growth

Where this work is heading: projected change.
Projected employment change
10.9%
2025 to 2035, BLS Employment Projections
National shortage pressure
#139
Of 525 occupations scored on the national index, trades and non-trades alike · 74th percentile

Shortage Pressure

Each state is shaded by the Burning Glass Institute's Labor Shortage Index, which scores the structural pressure on filling the occupation from nine indicators, including workforce age, new entrants, part-time work, licensing, AI exposure and projected growth. Each occupation is ranked against every other occupation in the same state, so a reading of 90 means more pressure than 90% of occupations in that state. It is a risk score, not a count of unfilled jobs. The worker data come from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey, and occupations with fewer than 20 survey respondents in a state are not scored.
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highest shortage pressure · click a state to inspect it without leaving the page table view
Selected
Nebraska
Heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers
85percentile, shortage pressure
3,020 workers

States by shortage pressure for heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers

Labor Shortage Index percentile in each state
1Nebraska85
2Wisconsin82
3Tennessee81
4Ohio79
5California78
6Colorado78
7Georgia78
8Maine78
9North Dakota78
10Arizona77
11Florida76
12Wyoming76
The score is the trade's Labor Shortage Index percentile among all occupations scored in that state: 90 means more structural pressure on filling it than 90% of them, not more vacancies. 50 of 51 states score this trade.

Trades in the United States by shortage pressure

Labor Shortage Index percentile among all occupations nationally
1Industrial and refractory machinery mechanics99
2Stationary engineers and boiler operators96
3Precision instrument and equipment repairers95
4First-line supervisors of mechanics, installers, and repairers93
5Locomotive engineers and operators93
6Construction and building inspectors91
7Tool and die makers91
8Transportation inspectors91
9Elevator and escalator installers and repairers89
10First-line supervisors of construction trades and extraction workers89
11Maintenance and repair workers, general89
12Crane and tower operators88
The score is the trade's Labor Shortage Index percentile among all occupations scored nationally: 90 means more structural pressure on filling it than 90% of them, not more vacancies. 112 of 124 trades scored nationally.